DEMOGRAPHIC RESEARCH

TITLE

Demographic Development of Russia's Regions: Progress towards Achieving National Goals

Konstantin A. Chernyshev

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INDEX

RAR (Research Article Report)

JEL J10, R23

https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2025_21_2_3_212_222

AUTHOR

Konstantin A. Chernyshev

Institute for Demographic Research – Branch of the Federal Center of Theoretical and Applied Sociology of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

OCRID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3543-4776

SPIN-code: 4782-5602

RSCI AuthorID: 623010

FOR CITATION

Chernyshev K.A. Demographic Development of Russia's Regions: Progress towards Achieving National Goals. Uroven' Zhizni Naseleniya Regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2025;21(2):212–222. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2025_21_2_3_212_222 (In Russ.)

Abstract

The article is devoted to the study of the demographic development of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. The aim of the study is to improve scientific approaches to assessing regional demographic development, and the objectives of the study include determining the criteria for demographic development with the subsequent identification of prosperous and problematic regions of the Russian Federation. The theoretical and methodological basis of the study were scientific approaches to assessing the demographic well-being of the regions of Russia. Demographic development is measured using indicators included in the assessment of the effectiveness of the activities of senior officials and executive bodies of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Their list is proposed to be supplemented by the inclusion of migration indicators in order to reflect the key processes affecting population change: birth rate, mortality, migration. The threshold values that separate problematic regions are used target indicators planned in official documents of the Government of the Russian Federation, as well as their dynamics for 2018-2023. It was revealed that all regions meet some criteria of problematic demographic development. The demographic indicators of ten regions of the Russian Federation are below the threshold values for all proposed criteria – these are Amur, Kirov, Kostroma, Lipetsk, Murmansk, Omsk, Orenburg, Penza regions, Primorsky Krai and the Komi Republic. The group of problematic regions is characterized by stable depopulation, a combination of natural decline and migration outflow, negative dynamics of birth rates and a decrease in life expectancy. Relatively prosperous regions include Moscow and Adygea, Khanty-Mansiysk and Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrugs. It is concluded that in the context of depopulation, it is necessary to develop scientifically based approaches to assessing demographic development and typology of regions for the implementation of effective demographic policy.

Keywords

demographic development, regions of Russia, demographic well-being, depopulation, fertility, life expectancy, migration

AUTHOR'S BIOGRAFY

Konstantin A. Chernyshev

PhD in Geography, Leading Researcher, the Institute for Demographic Research – Branch of the Federal Center of Theoretical and Applied Sociology of the RAS

References

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DEMOGRAPHIC RESEARCH

TITLE

Disproportions of Demographic Development of Russia at the Regional Level: Current Trends

Vadim A. Bezverbnyi

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INDEX

RAR (Research Article Report)

JEL J11

https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2025_21_2_2_197_211

AUTHOR

Vadim A. Bezverbnyi

Institute for Demographic Research - Branch of the Federal Center of Theoretical and Applied Sociology of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

OCRID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3148-7072

SPIN-code: 5758-6360

RSCI AuthorID: 539479

ResearcherID: O-1050-2016

Scopus Author ID: 57210845020

FOR CITATION

Bezverbnyi V.A. Disproportions of Demographic Development of Russia at the Regional Level: Current Trends. Uroven' Zhizni Naseleniya Regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2025;21(2):197–211. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2025_21_2_2_197_211 (In Russ.)

Abstract

The article is devoted to the study of spatial polarisation of demographic development of Russian regions in the period from 1994 to 2024. Based on the analysis of statistical data, including the results of All-Russian population censuses and current records of Rosstat, the key trends determining the differences in the demographic situation at the regional level are identified. The main attention is paid to population dynamics, migration processes, fertility and life expectancy indicators. The results of the study indicate a significant spatial differentiation of demographic processes. Large agglomerations, such as Moscow and St. Petersburg, demonstrate steady population growth due to migration inflow, while the regions of the Far East, Siberia and the North face steady depopulation caused by migration outflow and natural population decline. The analysis of the total fertility rate (TFR) showed that only two regions (the Chechen Republic and the Republic of Tyva) corresponded to the expanded type of population reproduction in 2024, while most regions of the central and western parts of the country are characterised by extremely low birth rates. Special attention is paid to life expectancy, which also demonstrates significant regional differentiation. The lowest values are recorded in the northern and eastern regions. The highest values are observed in the southern regions and large cities. Based on the analysis of natural and migration growth rates, four groups of regions were identified. In conclusion, the authors propose recommendations for demographic policy aimed at reducing spatial disproportions and ensuring sustainable demographic growth.

Keywords

demographic development, spatial polarization, regional differentiation, migration processes, natural population movement, fertility and mortality, life expectancy, depopulation, demographic policy

AUTHOR'S BIOGRAFY

Vadim A. Bezverbnyi

PhD in Economics, Head of the Department of Geo-Urban Studies and Spatial Demography, Leading Researcher, Institute for Demographic Research - Branch of the Federal Center of Theoretical and Applied Sociology of the Russian Academy of Sciences

References

  1. Rostovskaya T.K., Shabunova A.A. (res. eds.), Arkhangelsky V.N., et al. Demograficheskoe Samochuvstvie Regionov Rossii. National Demographic Report, 2021. FCTAS RAS. Moscow: Publishing and trading house Perspektiva; 2021. 138 с. ISBN 978-5-89697-369-0 https://doi.org/10.19181/monogr.978-5-89697-369-0.2021 (in Russ.)
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ARTICLE OF THE ISSUE

TITLE

Precariousness of Living Conditions of the Population: Measurement Approaches and Quantitative Estimates

Elena V. Odintsova

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INDEX

RAR (Research Article Report)

JEL I31, R21

https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2025_21_2_1_184_196

AUTHOR

Elena V. Odintsova

Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

OCRID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7906-8520

SPIN-code: 1866-4793

RSCI AuthorID: 999153

ReseacherID: : U-7061-2019

FOR CITATION

Odintsova Е.V. Precariousness of Living Conditions of the Population: Measurement Approaches and Quantitative Estimates. Uroven' Zhizni Naseleniya Regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2025;21(2):184-196. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2025_21_2_1_184_196 (in Russ.)

Abstract

The work is devoted to the problems of the living conditions of the population, which were considered in the framework of the study in order to identify their precariousness. The information basis of the study was made up of microdata from a Comprehensive monitoring of the living conditions of the population conducted by Rosstat in 2022. To identify the precariousness of the living conditions of the population, the following measurements are proposed: the quality of housing conditions; the quality and accessibility of housing and communal services; the reliability of housing; the quality of living conditions in the place of residence (in the dwelling) and in the locality. Estimates of the precariousness of the living conditions of the population according to its individual characteristics, as well as taking into account their concentration, have been obtained. It is shown that 10.9% of the population have no signs indicating precariousness of living conditions, 26.0% of the population have one sign, 22.0% of the population have two signs, and 41.1% of the population have three or more signs. Quantitative estimates of the population distribution have been obtained depending on the combination and concentration of characteristics associated with living in a dwelling and in a locality. It was found that 9.3% of the population is characterized by the presence of one or two signs associated with living in a locality. 21.2% of the population is distinguished by precariousness of living conditions, which is a consequence of one of the manifestations associated with living in a dwelling, 9.9% – two such manifestations. In about a quarter of the population, living conditions are precarious due to the concentrated (three or more) manifestations of signs associated with living in a dwelling and/or in a locality. Another quarter of the population has a less concentrated (one or two) manifestation of signs of precarious living conditions.

Keywords

living conditions, quality of living conditions, precariousness of living conditions, housing, quality of housing conditions, reliability of housing, quality of services, accessibility of services, population

AUTHOR'S BIOGRAFY

Elena V. Odintsova

PhD in Economics, Leading Researcher, Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences

References

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  2. Nozdrina N.N., Schneiderman I.M. Quality of Life and Housing Conditions of the Population in the Largest Agglomerations and Million-plus Cities of Russia. Narodonaselenie=Population. 2022;25(1):4-17. https://doi.org/10.19181/population.2022.25.1.1 (in Russ.)
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  23. Bobkov V.N., Odintsova Y.V., Bobkov N.V. Relevance of Developing a National Programme to Increase Income, Reduce Poverty and Inequality. Uroven' zhizni naselenija regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2020;16(2):9-24. https://doi.org/10.19181/lsprr/2020.16.2.1 (in Russ.).
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Chief Editor's column

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ARTICLE OF THE ISSUE

What Demographic Policy Does Russia Need

Yurii A. Avdeev

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ECONOMICAL RESEARCH

Quality of Working Life in Russian Regions

Ekaterina A. Chernykh

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Housing Provision for Households with Children in Modern

Alla K. Guzanova

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Analysis of Pension Indexation Methods in Order to Achieve the Well-Being of Older Generations

Arkadii K. Solov'ev

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Improvement of the Urban Environment in a Highly Urbanized Region: from Economic Sustainability to an Increase in the Quality of Life

Dmitrii O. Kutyrin, Tat'yana I. Zvorykina

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Analysis of the Social Situation and the Effectiveness of Government Bodies in the Constituent Entities of the Russian Federation Based on Citizens’ Appeals

Dzhomart F. Aliev, Vasilii V. Urozhenko, Daniil V. Volkov, Мariya А. Pil'gun

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SOCIOLOGICAL RESEARCH

Russian Family Well-Being in the Self-Assessments of the Population

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SCIENTIFIC LIFE

Socio-Demographic Ideas of Mikhail V. Lomonosov in the Service of the Modern Russian State. Review of Materials from the Panel Discussion Dedicated to the 270th Anniversary of Lomonosov Moscow State University

Tamara V. Lebedeva, Aleksandra R. Akramova, Anna K. Shebanova

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SCIENTIFIC LIFE

TITLE

Socio-Demographic Ideas of Mikhail V. Lomonosov in the Service of the Modern Russian State. Review of Materials from the Panel Discussion Dedicated to the 270th Anniversary of Lomonosov Moscow State University

Tamara V. Lebedeva, Aleksandra R. Akramova, Anna K. Shebanova

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INDEX

CNF (Conference Proceedings)

JEL J11

https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2025_21_1_6_88_99

AUTHORS

Tamara V. Lebedeva

Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia

e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

OCRID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1817-3685

RSCI AuthorID: 731576

Scopus Author ID: 57190430527

Aleksandra R. Akramova

Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia

e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

OCRID: https://orcid.org/0009-0002-1434-9425

SPIN-code: 8191-3240

RSCI AuthorID: 1190489

Anna K. Shebanova

Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia

e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

OCRID: https://orcid.org/ 0009-0000-1258-6027

FOR CITATION

Lebedeva T.V., Akramova A.R., Shebanova A.K. Socio-Demographic Ideas of Mikhail V. Lomonosov in the Service of the Modern Russian State. Review of Materials from the Panel Discussion Dedicated to the 270th Anniversary of Lomonosov Moscow State University.  Uroven' zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2025;21(1):166–171. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2025_21_1_13_166_171 (In Russ.)

Abstract

The study of the rich scientific heritage of Mikhail V. Lomonosov devoted many scientific books and articles, which describe the contribution of the famous Russian scientist to the development of various fields of scientific knowledge - astronomy, geography, physical chemistry, metallurgy, engineering, history, grammar, poetics and others. Thanks to the discoveries of the brilliant scientist, many branches of modern science received further development. The social and demographic heritage of M. Lomonosov, a brilliant scientist’s contribution to the study of population problems, is of significant importance for the current stage of development of the Russian state. The session of the panel discussion, organized and conducted by the Department of Demography of the Higher School of Contemporary Social Sciences (Faculty) Lomonosov Moscow State University, was devoted to examining this side of creativity of the great thinker, developing his ideas in contem porary socio-demographic conditions Mikhail V. Lomonosov.

Keywords

ideas of M.V. Lomonosov, the panel discussion, preservation and reproduction of Russian people, population, demography

AUTHORS BIOGRAFY

Tamara V. Lebedeva

PhD in Geography, Associate Professor, Researcher, Department for Demography, Higher School of Contemporary Social Sciences (Faculty), Lomonosov Moscow State University

Aleksandra R. Akramova

Lecturer of the Department of Demography, Higher School of Contemporary Social Sciences (Faculty), Lomonosov State University 

Anna K. Shebanova

Laboratory Assistant, Department of Demography, Higher School of Contemporary Social Sciences (Faculty), Lomonosov State University

References

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