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TITLE

Regional Demographic Development: Elaborating a Conceptual and Categorical Framework

Natalia P. Neklyudova

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RAR (Research Article Report)

JEL J11, R23, B41

https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2026_22_1_9_142_154

AUTHOR

Natalia P. Neklyudova

Institute of Economics of the Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Ekaterinburg, Russia

E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5026-1394

SPIN-code: 2555-0827

ResearcherID: Е-5849-2014

FOR CITATION

Neklyudova N.P. Regional Demographic Development: Elaborating a Conceptual and Categorical Framework. Uroven' Zhizni Naseleniya Regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2026;22(1):142–154. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2026_22_1_9_142_154 (In Russ.)

ABSTRACT

The aim of the study is to develop a systematic conceptual and categorical framework for the comprehensive analysis of regional demographic development. To overcome the fragmentation of existing approaches that separate quantitative, qualitative, and behavioral aspects, a methodology based on the principles of permutation-based (mutational) synthesis is proposed. The definition of demographic development as a directed change in the properties of a population leading to a change in its state is adopted as the basic category. The permutation (rearrangement) method was applied to a hierarchical system of categories, including the triads «population» (quantity, quality, behavior), «direction of changes» (regress, isogress, progress), and «state of the system» (chaos, ordering, stabilization). This enabled the logical synthesis of a complete set of 27 peripheral concepts describing all possible configurations of a region's demographic state. The sources used in the article include a corpus of classical and modern demographic theories, as well as methodological works on the organization of scientific knowledge. The main result of the study is a holistic conceptual framework that ensures a complete description of a region's demographic system through distinct triadic states. The apparatus facilitates the integration of classical demographic concepts into a unified logical space, allowing for their fine differentiation and linkage to the institutional context. Based on the synthesized concepts, options for their grouping by evaluative vector, level of management, and object of change are proposed, along with a comprehensive three-dimensional taxonomy for regional typologization. The study's conclusions confirm that the developed apparatus actualizes the tasks of creating integrative models, studying non-linear dynamics and paradoxical states, and forming a systematic theory of regional demographic differences, thereby establishing a methodological foundation for substantiating differentiated demographic policy.

KEYWORDS

regional demographic development, conceptual and categorical framework, permutation method, regional typology, human capital, demographic dynamics, demographic development management

INFORMATION ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Natalia P. Neklyudova

PhD in Economics, Senior Researcher, Institute of Economics of the Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences.

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