ECONOMIC RESEARCH

TITLE

Resources and Risks of Labor Immigration: Imperatives of Formation and Methodology of Assessments

Alexey P. Sedlov

Размер файла228–242
Размер файла  2.11 MB Размер файла Full text

INDEX

RAR (Research Article Report)

https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2024_20_2_7_228_242

EDN QCHFSP

AUTHOR

Alexey P. Sedlov

Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0002-6879-6730

SPIN-code: 8554-1070

РИНЦ Author ID: 152684

FOR CITATION

Sedlov A.P. Resources and Risks of Labor Immigration: Imperatives of Formation and Methodology of Assessments. Uroven' zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2024;20(2):228–242. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2024_20_2_7_228_242 (In Russ.)

ABSTRACT

The paper examines the imperatives and dialectics of labor immigration as a resource for economic growth, on the one hand, and a source of risks in the economic and social sphere, on the other. The history and modern experience of the expansion of mass migration to developed countries state the growing negative consequences that have features in modern Russia (hypertrophied demand for cheap labor, the growth of non-labor immigration, etc.). In the context of the theory of a dual labor market, an assessment of the autonomy of its foreign segment, as well as the growth of competitive crossings of migrants and national personnel, is given. The analysis of Russia's migration attractiveness in the post-Soviet space is carried out in the format of neoclassical theory. The proposed methodology for assessing systemic factors and the calculations carried out confirm the excessive resources and risks of mass migration in the regional aspect, most industries operating on the domestic market, In Russia as a whole, the number of employed migrants from the CIS countries is estimated at 8.8 million people, with the number of legally employed 3.8 million people. The analysis of variable factors allowed us to state the structural restructuring of the national labor market. with the movement of local personnel in the defense industry and the shortage of qualified personnel, it is not possible to replace them with migrants from poor CIS countries, most of which do not have a close connection with the labor market. An important conclusion has been made about the necessary adjustments to migration policy, taking into account the principles of normative attraction of labor immigration and selective naturalization of new citizens.

KEYWORDS

economic laws of migration, labor market, transformations of labor migration, quality of labor, excessive resources, demographic trends, economic risks, selective naturalization

AUTHORS BIOGRAFY

Alexey P. Sedlov

PhD in Economics, Leading Researcher at the Center for Human Development of the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences

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The article was submitted 12.01.2024; approved after reviewing 08.04.2024; accepted for publication 09.06.2024.