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TITLE

What Demographic Policy Does Russia Need

 Yurii A. Avdeev

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INDEX

RAR (Research Article Report)

JEL J11, J18, P51, R23, R58

https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2025_21_1_1_12_27

AUTHOR

Yurii A. Avdeev

e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0379-9914

SPIN-code: 7481-4302

RSCI Author ID: 718435

ReseacherID: K-5937-2018

For citation

Avdeev Yu.A. What Demographic Policy Does Russia Need. Uroven' zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2025;21(1):12-27. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2025_21_1_1_12_27 (In Russ.)

Acknowledgements

the article was prepared as part of the research work of the state assignment of the Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation on the topic: "Geographical and Geopolitical Factors of the Sustainable Development of Territorial Structures of the Economy and Population at Regional and Local Levels of Pacific Russia" No. 125022102815-5.

Abstract

The purpose of the study is to reveal the reasons that have prevented the sustainable demographic development of the country, and the extension of the current policy leads to a decrease in the population, and to offer an option, in case of successful implementation, to recommend for other regions. The total fertility rate for the future until 2036 does not bring to the level of simple reproduction, and the population will continue to decline. The continuation of the trend is a real threat to national security, and the shortage of labor resources hinders the development of the country's economic potential. Among the reasons are an inadequate assessment of the demographic situation, the wrong choice of priorities, and a limited set of tools for influencing the demographic behavior of the population. The object of this research is the demographic policy pursued in Russia since 2007. The subject of the analysis is the documents that determine the content of this policy, as well as the conceptual approaches underlying it. An alternative position (2005) is considered: the demographic situation of the 90s is close to disaster, and a program of decisive action is needed. The article discusses the main directions of the new demographic policy, the basis of which is the worldview position based on the laws of socio-economic development. Success will be determined by the transition from the setting of "saving" the population to its increase; recognition of the state as the main beneficiary of population growth; the consolidation by law of a provision recognizing the work of a woman in raising her children as socially useful; understanding of housing as an effective lever of demographic policy; transition to a new level of industrial development of the country, with a high level of income of the employed; changes in the spatial organization of the population's life, focused on creating conditions for population reproduction; With the understanding of migration not only as a way to overcome the shortage of labor resources, but also as a source of growth in demographic potential, the conditions for expanded reproduction. The information base of the study was publicly available statistical data from the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat), as well as data from published materials in various publications.

Keywords

demographic policy, total fertility rate, population growth, women's labor, housing, living space, migration, systemic approach

AUTHOR'S BIOGRAFY

Yurii A. Avdeev – PhD in Economics, Leading Researcher, Laboratory Social and Medical Geography, Pacific Geographical Institute of the Far Eastern Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

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