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ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Assessment of the People Saving Index under Various Trends of Regional Development

Alexsandr A. Kuklin, Sergei A. Okhotnikov

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INDEX

RAR (Research Article Report)

DOI: 10.52180/1999-9836_2023_19_2_7_243_253

EDN: LLDLDX

AUTHORS

Alexsandr A. Kuklin

Ural Federal University, Ekaterinburg, Russia

e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

ORCID: https://orcid.org/ 0000-0002-9794-4774

РИНЦ Author ID:147036

WOS Researcher ID: J-9852-2013

Scopus Author ID: 7003946617

Sergei A. Okhotnikov

Oxford Language Center, Ekaterinburg, Russia

e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5320-3130

РИНЦ Author ID: 511720

FOR CITATION

KuklinA.A., Okhotnikov S.A. Assessment of the People Saving Index under Various Trends of Regional Development. Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2023. Vol. 19. No 2. P. 243–253. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2023_19_2_7_243_253

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

the work was supported by the Russian Science Foundation, project No. 22-28-01010 “People's Savings as a Basis for Safe Socio-Economic Development of Russian Regions: Analysis, Forecast and System of Measures for Localization and Neutralization of Threats”

ABSTRACT

The article describes how to use the selected modules in the formation of a consolidated index of people saving for the territories of the regional level. The following components are proposed as modules: the number of the population, the quality of the population, the quality of life, the health of the population and longevity. This is caused by increased threats of a regional nature within the country, as well as economic sanctions imposed on Russia by individual countries. Such a situation is not typical for the development of regions in terms of its size and requires a clearer assessment and foresight. The modern development of the socio-economic system is accompanied by a high rate of change in the vectors of development of economic processes and a low level of predictability of social consequences. All the changes in recent years have affected demographic growth, welfare and population structure. The article uses a method of index numbers for diagnosing the state of people saving at the regional level, which included stationary components (speed, acceleration of indicators) and took into account additional changes in both individual modules and their interaction at the probabilistic level. These changes characterize sharp changes in indicators during the years of socio-economic crises and periods of improvement or deterioration of the state of the people saving index. The regions included in the Ural Federal District were selected as type representatives: Sverdlovsk and Chelyabinsk regions – industrial territories with developed educational and scientific institutions; Khanty-Mansi Autonomous District and Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Distric - fuel and energy centers dominating oil and gas production; Tyumen Region (we consider without autonomous districts) – territory, located nearby and having a certain dependence on oil and gas producing territories, with educational and scientific potential; Kurgan region is a territory with a large share of the agro–industrial complex, chronically lagging behind in socio-economic indicators from other regions of the Ural Federal District.

KEYWORDS

demographic development threats, levels of crisis, mathematical modeling of the population saving index, population, quality of human potential, quality of life, population health and longevity

AUTHORS BIOGRAPHIES

Alexsandr A. Kuklin

Doctor of Economics, Professor, Honoured Science Worker of the Russian Federation, Leading researcher, Ural Federal University, Ekaterinburg, Russia

Sergei A. Okhotnikov

Teacher of Mathematics and Physics, Oxford Language Center, Ekaterinburg, Russia

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The article was submitted 20.02.2023; approved after reviewing 02.05.2023; accepted for publication 16.05.2023.