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DEMOGRAPHIC RESEARCH

TITLE

Demographic Development of Russia's Regions: Progress towards Achieving National Goals

Konstantin A. Chernyshev

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INDEX

RAR (Research Article Report)

JEL J10, R23

https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2025_21_2_3_212_222

AUTHOR

Konstantin A. Chernyshev

Institute for Demographic Research – Branch of the Federal Center of Theoretical and Applied Sociology of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

OCRID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3543-4776

SPIN-code: 4782-5602

RSCI AuthorID: 623010

FOR CITATION

Chernyshev K.A. Demographic Development of Russia's Regions: Progress towards Achieving National Goals. Uroven' Zhizni Naseleniya Regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2025;21(2):212–222. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2025_21_2_3_212_222 (In Russ.)

Abstract

The article is devoted to the study of the demographic development of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. The aim of the study is to improve scientific approaches to assessing regional demographic development, and the objectives of the study include determining the criteria for demographic development with the subsequent identification of prosperous and problematic regions of the Russian Federation. The theoretical and methodological basis of the study were scientific approaches to assessing the demographic well-being of the regions of Russia. Demographic development is measured using indicators included in the assessment of the effectiveness of the activities of senior officials and executive bodies of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Their list is proposed to be supplemented by the inclusion of migration indicators in order to reflect the key processes affecting population change: birth rate, mortality, migration. The threshold values that separate problematic regions are used target indicators planned in official documents of the Government of the Russian Federation, as well as their dynamics for 2018-2023. It was revealed that all regions meet some criteria of problematic demographic development. The demographic indicators of ten regions of the Russian Federation are below the threshold values for all proposed criteria – these are Amur, Kirov, Kostroma, Lipetsk, Murmansk, Omsk, Orenburg, Penza regions, Primorsky Krai and the Komi Republic. The group of problematic regions is characterized by stable depopulation, a combination of natural decline and migration outflow, negative dynamics of birth rates and a decrease in life expectancy. Relatively prosperous regions include Moscow and Adygea, Khanty-Mansiysk and Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrugs. It is concluded that in the context of depopulation, it is necessary to develop scientifically based approaches to assessing demographic development and typology of regions for the implementation of effective demographic policy.

Keywords

demographic development, regions of Russia, demographic well-being, depopulation, fertility, life expectancy, migration

AUTHOR'S BIOGRAFY

Konstantin A. Chernyshev

PhD in Geography, Leading Researcher, the Institute for Demographic Research – Branch of the Federal Center of Theoretical and Applied Sociology of the RAS

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