SECTION:

SOCIOLOGICAL RESEARCH

TITLE:

The Enterprise Ownership Factor in the Labor Behavior of Professionals and Skilled Workers in Russia

Aleksandr L. Temnitskii

Размер файла 2.828 MB Размер файла Full text

RAR (Research Article Report)

JEL J00

https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2026_22_3_7_453_466

AUTHOR

Aleksandr L. Temnitskii

Moscow State Institute of International Relations (University), Moscow, Russia

Institute of Sociology of the Federal Center of Theoretical and Applied Sociology of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5275-7457

SPIN-code: 5717-0857

ResearcherID: I-4615-2018

Scopus Author ID: 25936831100

FOR CITATION

Temnitskii A.L. The Enterprise Ownership Factor in the Labor Behavior of Professionals and Skilled Workers in Russia. Uroven' Zhizni Naseleniya Regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2026;22(3):438–451. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2026_22_3_6_438_451 (In Russ.)

ABSTRACT

The paper, based on a secondary analysis of the Russia Longitudinal Monitoring Survey - Higher School of Economics (RLMS-HSE) combined dataset pertaining to health and economic welfare of households and individuals (1994-2024), deals with the particulars of employment and work behavior of professionals and skilled workers in the private and public enterprises. The main research objective is to determine private and public enterprises’ potential to become more attractive for modern hired workers. For that purpose, we compared public and private enterprises’ capabilities to provide professionals and workers with social benefits, pay rates, work hours, as well as pay satisfaction and general job satisfaction. The results show that private enterprise workers still lag behind their public sector counterparts when it comes to key social benefits, with the exception of subsidized meals. Starting from 2012, longer work hours for private enterprise workers stopped earning them higher pay compared to their counterparts in the public sector; the pay satisfaction level has also equalized between the two. The private ownership has a significant impact on the labor market outcomes among professionals who have always enjoyed higher earnings and pay satisfaction compared to their counterparts working at public enterprises. Using regression analysis with dummy variables, we demonstrated that the effect of private ownership on explaining variation in earnings have been decreasing steadily, and stopped being significant from 2016 on. Male gender and affiliation with a professional group make a stronger, more lasting impact.

KEYWORDS

Enterprise ownership form, work behavior, professionals, skilled workers, work hours, pay, social benefits, worker’s resource potential, secondary analysis

INFORMATION ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Aleksandr L. Temnitskii

Doctor of Sociology, Associate Professor, Sociological Department, Moscow State Institute of International Relations (University); Leading Researcher, Institute of Sociology of the Federal Center of Theoretical and Applied Sociology of the Russian Academy of Sciences.

REFERENCES

  1. Toshchenko Zh.T. Transformation of Ideas and Meaning of Labor: from the Cult of Labor to the Cult of Consumption (an Experience of Historical and Sociological Analysis). Part II. Uroven' zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2025;21(3):371–383. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836 (In Russ.)
  2. Vodichev E.G. Labor, Property and Economic Freedoms in Concepts and Soviet Realities. Istoricheskiy kur'yer=Historical Courier. 2023;(1(27)):33–49. https://doi.org/10.31518/2618-9100-2023-1-3 (In Russ.)
  3. Gulin K.A. Transformation of Property Relations in Russia at the Turn of the 1980s–1990s: Prerequisites, Content, Consequences. Vestnik Tomskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Istoriya=Tomsk State University Journal of History. 2024;(87):22–36. https://doi.org/10.17223/19988613/87/3 (In Russ.)
  4. Andreev V.K. On the Right to Private Property in Russia (Critical Essay). Moscow: Publishing House Volters Kluver; 2007. 176 p. ISBN 978-5-466-00204-1 (In Russ.)
  5. Patrushev V.D., Temnitskii A.L. Sobstvennost' i Otnoshenie k Trudu. Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniya=Sociological Studies. 1994;(4):52–59. (In Russ.)
  6. Temnitskii A.L. The Development of the Hired Worker in the Context of the Transformation of Property Relations. Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniya=Sociological Studies. 2014;(5(361)):47–55. (In Russ.)
  7. Latov Yu.V. Does an Enquiry for Socialistic Changes Exist in Russia? Russian Journal of Economics and Law. 2022;16(1):202–218. http://dx.doi.org/10.21202/2782-2923.2022.1.202-218 (In Russ.)
  8. Klimova S.G. Transformation of Labor Behavior Patterns in Modern Russian Society. Rossiya transformiruyushchayasya=Russia in Transformation. 2023;(21):204–229. https://doi.org/10.19181/ezheg.2023.8 (In Russ.)
  9. Mkrtchyan G.M., Chistyakov I.M. Moscow Youth in the Labor Market. Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniya=Sociological Studies. 2000;(12):42–49. (In Russ.)
  10. Gorshkov M.K., Peilin L., Golenkova Z.T. (eds.) Russia and China. Changes in the Social Structure of Society. Moscow: Publishing House Novyi Khronograf; 2012. 481 p. ISBN 978-5-94881-179-6 (In Russ.)
  11. Popov A.V. Implications of Precarization in the Context of Generational Groups: Direct and Indirect Effects. Ekonomicheskiye i sotsial'nyye peremeny: fakty, tendentsii, prognoz=Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast. 2022;(6):167–181. https://doi.org/10.15838/esc.2022.6.84.10 (In Russ.)
  12. Balabanova E.S., Efendiev A.G., Gogoleva A.S. Russian Working Youth: Strategies to Achieve Wellbeing. Vestnik Sankt-Peterburgskogo universiteta. Sotsiologiya=Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. Sociology. 2021;14(1):33–52. https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu12.2021.103 (In Russ.)
  13. Feniza A., Checchi D., Lucifora C. Public- and Private-Sector Jobs: a Cross-Country Perspective. Oxford Economic Papers. 2024;76(3):759–779. https://doi.org/10.1093/oep/gpad044
  14. Cordes J., Vogel R. Comparing Employer Attractiveness of Public Sector Organizations to Nonprofit and Private Sector Organizations: An Experimental Study in Germany and the U.S. Review of Public Personnel Administration. 2023;43(2):260–287. https://doi.org/10.1177/0734371X211065349
  15. Vogel R., Satzger M. What Drives the Attractiveness of Public and Private Employers? Comparative Evidence from an Online Employer Review Platform. The American Review of Public Administration. 2024;54(2):180–197. https://doi.org/10.1177/02750740231206805
  16. Temnitskii A. The Labor Productivity of Household Members in the Context of Transforming Property Relations and Employment Conditions. Mir Rossii. Sotsiologiya. Ehtnologiya=Universe of Russia. Sociology. Ethnology. 2020;29(2):134–155. https://doi.org/10.17323/1811-038X-2020-29-2-134-155 (In Russ.)
  17. Tikhonova N.E., Latov Yu.V. (eds.), Latova N.V., et al. Chelovecheskii Kapital Rossiiskikh Professionalov: Sostoyanie, Dinamika, Faktory. Monograph. FCTAS RAS. Moscow: FCTAS RAS; 2023. 488 p. ISBN 978-5-89697-420-8 https://doi.org/10.19181/monogr.978-5-89697-420-8.2023 (In Russ.)
  18. Yadov V.A. Sotsial'nyi Resurs Individov i Grupp kak Ikh Kapital: Vozmozhnost' Primeneniya Universal'noi Metodologii Issledovaniya Real'nogo Rassloeniya v Rossiiskom Obshchestve. In: Zaslavskaya T.I. (ed.) Kto i Kuda Stremitsya Vesti Rossiyu? Aktory Makro-, Mezo- i Mikrourovnei Sovremennogo Transformatsionnogo Protsessa. The Eighth International Symposium Proceedings; January 19–20, 2001; Moscow, Russia. Moscow: Moscow School of Social and Economic Sciences; 2001:310–318. (In Russ.)
  19. Sinyavskaya O.V., Cherviakova A.A., Gorvat E.S. Factors that Lead to Leaving the Labor Market at the Age of 45 and up in Russia: Role of Job Characteristics, Labor Mobility and Life-Long Learning. Sotsiologicheskiy Zhurnal=Sociological Journal. 2022;28(2):50–72. https://doi.org/10.19181/socjour.2022.28.2.8986 (In Russ.)
  20. Kozyreva P.M., Smirnov A.I. Social Guarantees and Benefits at Enterprises: Slugged Stabilization (based on RLMS-HSE data, 2000–2022). Rossiya Reformiruyushchayasya. 2024;(22):29–51. https://doi.org/10.19181/ezheg.2024.2 (In Russ.)
  21. Anisimov R.I. Working Hours and Social Guarantees of the Precarious Workers (an Attempt at Comparative Analysis). Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniya=Sociological Studies. 2022;(11):100–111. https://doi.org/10.31857/S013216250021071-1 (In Russ.)
  22. Gimpelson V.E. Does the Russian Economy Need Human Capital? Ten Doubts. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2016;(10):129–143. https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2016-10-129-143 (In Russ.)

SECTION:

ECONOMIC RESEARCH

TITLE:

Social Insurance: The History of the Issue in the Context of Basic Pension Income

Vyacheslav N. Bobkov, Grigory P. Degtyarev, Vadim I. Ryazantsev

Размер файла 2.828 MB Размер файла Full text

REV (Review article)

JEL I38, I32

https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2026_22_3_4_409_422

AUTHORS

Vyacheslav N. Bobkov

Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7364-5297

SPIN-code: 5639-0410

ResearcherID: U-6527-2019

Scopus ID: 55960509800

Grigory P. Degtyarev

Independent expert-researcher, Moscow, Russia

E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5443-6588

SPIN-code: 2756-3590

Vadim I. Ryazantsev

Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6249-0242

SPIN-code: 5026-3614

FOR CITATION

Bobkov V.N., Degtyarev G.P., Ryazantsev V.I. Social Insurance: The History of the Issue in the Context of Basic Pension Income. Uroven' Zhizni Naseleniya Regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2026;22(3):409–422. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2026_22_3_4_409_422 (In Russ.)

ABSTRACT

The article examines the genesis of the social insurance doctrine developed by A. Wagner, a representative of the German school of state socialism, which became the conceptual foundation of O. von Bismarck’s «social reforms from above». The aim is to trace the evolution of views on social insurance from classical liberalism to state socialism and to demonstrate the continuity of this doctrine in relation to contemporary debates on pension basic income. The methodology relies on historical-comparative analysis, content analysis of primary sources (A. Wagner «Die Sociale Frage», 1906; I.I. Chistyakov «Insurance of Workers in Russia», 1912; L.S. Tal «The Labour Contract», 1913) and a systemic approach. The empirical base includes both historical primary sources of the late 19th – early 20th centuries and current Russian and foreign studies of 2020–2026 on basic income, universal pensions and pension reforms. The paper shows that the integrated system of social reform proposed by A. Wagner (higher wages, compulsory insurance against sickness, disability and old age, factory legislation, tax reform) established the principles of solidarity and state responsibility, later developed in pre-revolutionary Russian thought and in the modern concept of pension basic income. The study concludes that pension basic income should be seen as an institutional continuation of the Wagnerian model of social insurance, which is of practical relevance for the transformation of the Russian pension system.

KEYWORDS

social insurance, german state socialism, A. Wagner, O. Bismarck, I.I. Chistyakov, L.S. Tal, history of social policy, basic pension income, basic pension, social protection, freedom of choice

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The reported study was funded by Russian Science Foundation grant 25-18-00228 at the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences.

INFORMATION ABOUT THE AUTHORS

Vyacheslav N. Bobkov

Doctor of Economics, Professor, Honoured Science Worker of the Russian Federation, Head of Scientific Project, Laboratory for Research on the Basic Pension Income, Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences.

Grigory P. Degtyarev

Doctor of Economics, Independent expert-researcher.

Vadim I. Ryazantsev

Intern Researcher, Laboratory for Research on the Basic Pension Income, Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences.

REFERENCES

  1. Kvashnin Yu.D. Basic Income for the European Countries: From Theory to Practice. Sovremennaya Evropa=Contemporary Europe. 2019;(3(89)):171–182. http://dx.doi.org/10.15211/soveurope32019171181 (In Russ.)
  2. Bobkov V.N. (ex. ed.), Odintsova E.V. (eds.), et al. Universal Basic Income: A Chance for Russia? Monograph. Moscow: Plekhanov Russian University of Economics; Izhevsk: Shelest; 2022. 360 p. ISBN 978-5-6048876-5-3 https://doi.org/10.21686/978-5-6048876-5-3-2022 (In Russ.)
  3. Bobkov V.N., Pilyus A.G., Smirnova E.A. Basic Income and Pension Systems: A Review of Research and Outlines of Transformation. Rossiiskii Ehkonomicheskii Zhurnal=Russian Economic Journal. 2024;(4):87–113. https://doi.org/10.52210/0130-9757_2024_4_87 (In Russ.)
  4. Bobkov V.N., Odintsova Ye.V. The Russian Pensioners Standarts of Living and it’s Dynamics with the Introduction of Basic Pension Income. Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniya=Sociological Studies. 2024;(11):110–122. https://doi.org/10.7868/S3034577X25110091 (In Russ.)
  5. Zakharov I.N. Possibilities of Introducing Elements of Basic Income into Pension Payments and Social Assistance in the Russian Federation. Uroven' zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2024;20(4):482–498. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2024_20_4_1_482_498 (In Russ.)
  6. Smirnova E.A. Dynamics of the Post-Soviet Compulsory Pension Insurance System and the Basic Pension Income. Uroven' zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2024;20(3):385–396. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2024_20_3_5_385_396 (In Russ.)
  7. Bobkov V.N., Odintsova E.V. Material Well-Being of Russians: Intergenerational Differentiation. Mir novoi ehkonomiki=The World of New Economy. 2021;15(2):16–28. https://doi.org/10.26794/2220-6469-2021-15-2-16-28 (In Russ.)
  8. Potapenko V.V. Populating Aging and the Demographic Burden on the Russian Pension System. Vestnik Instituta ehkonomiki Rossiiskoi akademii nauk=The Bulletin of the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences. 2025;(5):27–45. https://doi.org/10.52180/2073-6487_2025_5_27_45 (In Russ.)
  9. Lukyanets A., Okhrimenko I., Egorova M. Population Aging and Its Impact on the Country's Economy. Social Science Quarterly. 2021;102(2):722–736. https://doi.org/10.1111/ssqu.12936
  10. Bobkov V.N., Zakharov I.N., Sherstobitova Yu.A. Issues of Introducing a Basic Income into the Russian National Pension System. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast. 2026;19(1):157–176. https://doi.org/10.15838/esc.2026.1.103.12 EDN AMWWCX
  11. Bobkov V.N., Zolotov A.S., Odintsova E.V. Transitional Forms of Universal Basic Income as a Real Prospect for Russia. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast. 2021;14(4):33–47. https://doi.org/10.15838/esc.2021.4.76.2 (In Russ.)
  12. Kislitsyna O.А. Do We Need Free Money? On the Debate about Universal Basic Income. Vestnik Instituta Sotziologii=Bulletin of the Institute of Sociology. 2023;14(4):80–92. https://doi.org/10.19181/vis.2023.14.4.5 (In Russ.)
  13. Ivanov S.F. Pension Reform 2019: Determinants, Consequences, Alternatives. Demographic Review. 2019;6(5):8–54. https://doi.org/10.17323/demreview.v6i5.11459
  14. Andreenkova A.V. Attitude of Russian Youth to the Idea of Unconditional Basic Income – Understanding, Motives, Misconceptions. Vestnik Instituta Sotziologii=Bulletin of the Institute of Sociology. 2023;14(4):38–61. https://doi.org/10.19181/vis.2023.14.4.3 (In Russ.)
  15. Sirotkina E.V. The Evolution of Pension Insurance Legislation in Germany and Austria in the 19th–20th Centuries: «Pain Points» and Ways to Overcome Them. Aktual’nye problemy gosudarstva i prava=Current Issues of the State and Law. 2024;8(4):502–509. https://doi.org/10.20310/2587-9340-2024-8-4-502-509 (In Russ.)
  16. Degtyarev G.P., Degtyarev A.G. Germany’s Pension System: Parameters, Structure, Basic Characteristics. Sotsial'no-trudovye issledovaniya=Social and Labour Research. 2020;(1(38)):139–152. https://doi.org/10.34022/2658-3712-2020-38-1-139-152 (In Russ.)
  17. Folomeev S.N. Power and Social Legislation for Workers in Germany in the Second Half of the XIX Century: Intentions and Results. Izvestiya Samaraskogo nauchnogo tsentra Rossiiskoi akademii nauk. 2018;20(3-1(83)):163–170. (In Russ.)
  18. Lushnikov A.M. The Genesis of the German Social Insurance Model: History and Present. Sibirskoe yuridicheskoe obozrenie=Siberian Law Review. 2020;17(3):328–345. https://doi.org/10.19073/2658-7602-2020-17-3-328-345 (In Russ.)
  19. Tal' L.S. Trudovoi Dogovor: Tsivilisticheskoe Issledovanie. Chast' 1: Obshchie Ucheniya. Yaroslavl: Print Shop of Gubernskogo Pravleniya; 1913. 422 p. (In Russ.)
  20. Lushnikov A.M. L. S. Tal and V. M. Gordon: Double Portrait for the Anniversary. Ezhegodnik trudovogo prava=Russian Journal of Labour and Law. 2022;(12):63–75. https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu32.2022.106 (In Russ.)
  21. Lushnikov A.M. A. Wagner and the Genesis of Social Security Law Science. Vestnik trudovogo prava i prava sotsial'nogo obespecheniya. 2020;(14):4–31. (In Russ.)
  22. Wagner A. The Social Question. Saint Petersburg: Obshchestvennaya Pol'za Print Shop; 1906. 56 p. (In Russ.)
  23. Bernatskii M.V. Teoretiki Gosudarstvennogo Sotsializma v Germanii i Sotsial'no-Politicheskie Vozzreniya Knyazya Bismarka. Saint Petersburg: Tipo-lit. Shredera; 1911. 492 p. (In Russ.)
  24. Van Parijs F., Vanderborght Ya. Basic Income: A Radical Proposal for a Free Society and a Sane Economy. Moscow: HSE University Publishing House; 2020. 440 p. ISBN 978-5-7598-1784-0 https://doi.org/10.17323/978-5-7598-1784-0 (In Russ.)
  25. Oppenheimer F. The State: Its History and Development Viewed Sociologically. Moscow: Proekt Rustate.org; 2020. 255 p. ISBN 978-5-244-01220-0 (In Russ.)
  26. Chistyakov I.I. Strakhovanie Rabochikh v Rossii. Moscow: Pechatnya A. I. Snegirevoi; 1912. 432 p. (In Russ.)
  27. Ebbinghaus B. Inequalities and Poverty Risks in Old Age across Europe: The Double-edged Income Effect of Pension Systems. Social Policy and Administration. 2021;55(3):440–455. https://doi.org/10.1111/spol.12683
  28. Ahn S., Kwon E., Kang J., et al. Retirement Factors Driving South Korea's Highest Older Adult Poverty Rate Among OECD Nations: A Decomposition Analysis. Innovation in Aging. 2025;9(2):814. https://doi.org/10.1093/geroni/igaf122.2760
  29. Kuitto K., Madia J., Podestà F. Public Pension Generosity and Old-Age Poverty in OECD Countries. Journal of Social Policy. 2021;52(2):256–275. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0047279421000544
  30. Martinelli L., Vanderborght Y. Basic Income and the Social Investment State: Towards Mutual Reinforcement? European Journal of Social Security. 2022;24(1):40–57. https://doi.org/10.1177/13882627221085019
  31. Dumont D. Universal Basic Income as a Source of Inspiration for the Future of Social Protection Systems? A Counter-Agenda. European Journal of Social Security. 2022;24(3):299–318. https://doi.org/10.1177/13882627221138599
  32. Klyuchko V.N. Participation of Employees in Profits and Capital of the Company: History and Prospects. Menedzhment v Rossii i za Zarubezhom. 2016;(4):33–42. (In Russ.)
  33. Danielyan V., Polterovich V.V. Pension Reforms and the Informal Sector: Modeling of Income Groups Behavior. Ehkonomicheskaya nauka sovremennoi Rossii=Economics of Contemporary Russia. 2022;(1(96)):56–72. https://doi.org/10.33293/1609-1442-2022-1(96)-56-72 (In Russ.)
  34. Lysenko O.L. Labour Contract Institute Development in German Law in the End of XIXth – Beginning of XXth Century. Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta. Seriya 11: Pravo=Moscow University Bulletin. Series 11. Law. 2010;(6):32–55. (In Russ.)
  35. Lysenko O.L. Sotsial'naya Funktsiya Dogovora v Grazhdanskom Prave Germanii v Kontse XIX – Pervoi Treti XX Veka. Moscow: Gorodec Publishing House; 2023. 336 p. ISBN 978-5-907641-32-7 (In Russ.)
  36. He C. From Utopian Socialism to Modern Welfare States: The Evolutionary Trajectory of Social Welfare Thought. International Journal of Education and Humanities. 2024;14(2):100–103. https://doi.org/10.54097/m8tjtd04
  37. Dorofeev M. Analysis of Factors and Directions of Overcoming the Poverty of Russian Pensioners in Modern Conditions. Sibirskaya finansovaya shkola=Siberian Financial School. 2022;(2(146)):209–216. https://doi.org/10.34020/1993-4386--2022-2-209-216 (In Russ.)
  38. Podolskiy V.A. Origins of the Social Policy in Germany. Via in Tempore. Istoriya. Politologiya=Via in Tempore. History and Political Science. 2021;48(4):901–910. https://doi.org/10.52575/2687-0967-2021-48-4-901-910 (In Russ.)
  39. Guinnane T.W., Streb J. The Introduction of Bismarck's Social Security System and its Effects on Marriage and Fertility in Prussia. Population and Development Review. 2021;47(3):749–780. https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.12426
  40. Matsunaga T. Significance of Economic Openness for the Origins of Social Insurance Policies in the Initial Stage: A Comparative Study. New Political Economy. 2024;29(4):678–692. https://doi.org/10.1080/13563467.2024.2326862
  41. Manow P. Social Protection, Capitalist Production: The Bismarckian Welfare State in the German Political Economy, 1880–2015. Oxford: Oxford Academic; 2020. 180 р. ISBN 9780192580115 https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198842538.001.0001
  42. Hu A., Manning P. The Global Social Insurance Movement since the 1880s. Journal of Global History. 2010;5(1):125–148. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1740022809990350
  43. Reckendrees A. Why Did German Early Industrial Capitalists Suggest Workers' Pensions, Arbitration Boards and Minimum Wages? Economic History Yearbook. 2020;61(2):351–376. https://doi.org/10.1515/jbwg-2020-0015
  44. Buchner F., Schut F.T. High-risk Individuals in Voluntary Health Insurance Markets: The Elephant in the Room? Health Economics, Policy and Law. 2025;21(1):40–53. https://doi.org/10.1017/s1744133125000118
  45. Breyer F., Breunig C., Kapteina M., et al. Between Beveridge and Bismarck: Preferences for Redistribution through Public Pensions. Journal of the Economics of Ageing. 2025;31:100570. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100570
  46. Zemlyak S.V., Kramlikh O.Yu. Approaches to Reforming the Pension System of Russia: Possibilities of Applying Foreign Experience. Fundamental'nye issledovaniya=Fundamental Research. 2024;(5):34–59. https://doi.org/10.17513/fr.43610 (In Russ.)
  47. Semenova G.P. The Need for Pension Reform in Russia. 8th Innovative Technologies in Science and Education, ITSE 2020 Conference Proceedings; August 19–30, 2020; Rostov-on-Don, Russia. France: EDP Sciences. 2020:13029. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202021013029 EDN NNCGNK

SECTION:

ECONOMIC RESEARCH

TITLE:

Informal Employment in the Digital Economy: Institutional Pitfalls and Social Risks

Natalya Yu. Kaufman, Svetlana Yu. Zelentsova

Размер файла 2.828 MB Размер файла Full text

RAR (Research Article Report)

JEL A13, B52, J21, O17

https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2026_22_3_3_392_408

AUTHORS

Natalya Yu. Kaufman

Surgut State University, Surgut, Russia

E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7385-9276

SPIN-code: 4966-0185

ResearcherID: AAD-8367-2021

Svetlana Yu. Zelentsova

Surgut State University, Surgut, Russia

E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6803-3082

SPIN-code: 1892-0167

ResearcherID: KIK-2693-2024

FOR CITATION

Kaufman N.Yu., Zelentsova S.Yu. Informal Employment in the Digital Economy: Institutional Pitfalls and Social Risks. Uroven' Zhizni Naseleniya Regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2026;22(3):392–408. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2026_22_3_3_392_408 (In Russ.)

ABSTRACT

In the context of the ongoing changes, the relevance of the study is due to the rapid digitalization of the labour market, which generates new hybrid forms of employment, which are developing faster than the formation of an adequate regulatory framework, which creates the prerequisites for the expansion of informal employment in the digital environment, associated with large-scale social risks. The theoretical basis is neoinstitutional economic theory (D. North), the methodological framework includes institutional, systemic and evolutionary approaches, methods of classification, statistical and comparative analysis, matrix modeling. The empirical basis of the study was made up of data from Rosstat, the Federal Tax Service, expert estimates of fiscal losses, as well as the results of domestic and foreign studies. The aim of the study is to identify and analyze the key institutional traps that determine the sustainability of informal employment in the digital economy, and systematize the social risks generated by them. The study pursues four objectives: the concept of «informal employment in the digital economy» is develops a conceptual definition from the standpoint of institutional economic theory; systematized and classified institutional traps characteristic of the digital environment; social risks associated with identified traps are identified; guidelines for institutional change are formulated. The study identified four key institutional traps of informal employment in the digital economy: legal uncertainty, bogus self-employment, flexibility as coercion, and platform intermediation. Based on the analysis, a social risk matrix was developed and it was established that the cumulative effect of the identified traps generates systemic consequences at the individual (greater vulnerability), group (growing inequality, degradation of collective forms of protection and solidarity) and system-wide (fiscal losses) levels, consolidating the «digital precariat» layer. The practical significance of the study lies in the justification of the directions of institutional changes aimed at overcoming the identified pitfalls: differentiation of the legal status of employees, improving mechanisms for the reclassification of civil-law contracts as employment relationships, ensuring the transparency of digital mediation and support for new forms of collective protection. The prospects for further research are related to the empirical verification of the proposed mechanisms and the development of methods for assessing the effectiveness of institutional transformations in the field of the regulation of digital employment.

KEYWORDS

informal employment, digital economy, institutional traps, social risks, platform employment, digital precariat

INFORMATION ABOUT THE AUTHORS

Natalya Yu. Kaufman

PhD in Economics, Associate Professor, Surgut State University.

Svetlana Yu. Zelentsova

PhD in Economics, Associate Professor, Surgut State University.

REFERENCES

  1. Bychkov D.G., Grishina E.E., Loktyukhina N.V., et al. Advantages and Risks of Self-Employment and Platform Employment. Ekonomicheskaya politika=Economic Policy. 2024;19(4):60–83. https://doi.org/10.18288/1994-5124-2024-4-60-83 (In Russ.)
  2. Hart K. Informal Income Opportunities and Urban Employment in Ghana. Journal of Modern African Studies. 1973;11(1):61–89.
  3. Gimpelson V.E., Kapelyushnikov R.I. Is It Normal to Be Informal? Ekonomicheskiy zhurnal VShE=HSE Economic Journal. 2013;17(1):3–40. (In Russ.)
  4. Uzyakova E.S. Informal Employment and Structural Imbalances in the Labour Market. Ekonomicheskie i sotsial'nye peremeny: fakty, tendentsii, prognoz=Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast. 2024;6(17):167–183. https://doi.org/10.15838/esc.2024.6.96.9 (In Russ.)
  5. Kapelyushnikov R.I., Zinchenko D.I. Digital Forms of Employment in the Russian Labour Market. Part I: Remote Employment. Monitoring obshchestvennogo mneniya: ekonomicheskie i sotsial'nye peremeny=Monitoring of Public Opinion: Economic and Social Changes. 2024;(6(184)):157–181. https://doi.org/10.14515/monitoring.2024.6.2654 (In Russ.)
  6. Adair P. Non-Observed Economy vs. Shadow Economy and Informal Employment in Poland: A Range of Mismatching Estimates. In: Andreff W. (ed.) Comparative Economic Studies in Europe: a Thirty-Year Review. Switzerland: Palgrave Macmillan; 2021. P. 249–278. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-48295-4_13
  7. Voronin G.L., Kramer A.D. Informal Employment in Russia as a Condition for the Formation of the Precariat. Vestnik Nizhegorodskogo universiteta im. N. I. Lobachevskogo. Seriya: Sotsial'nye nauki=Vestnik of Lobachevsky University of Nizhni Novgorod. Series: Social Sciences. 2021;(3(63)):69–78. https://doi.org/10.52452/18115942_2021_3_69 (In Russ.)
  8. Zakalyuzhnaya N.V. A New Concept of Employment and the Development of Labour Relations in the Digital Age. Pravo. Zhurnal Vysshey shkoly ekonomiki=Law. Journal of the Higher School of Economics. 2023;16(2):139–164. https://doi.org/10.17323/2072-8166.2023.2.139.164 (In Russ.)
  9. Toshchenko Zh.T. A New Socio-Economic Phenomenon: The Precariat. Noonomika i nooobshchestvo. Al'manakh trudov INIR im. S.Yu. Vitte=Noonomics and Noosociety. Almanac of the INIR named after S.Yu. Witte. 2022;1(1):146–161. https://doi.org/10.37930/2782-618X-2022-1-1-146-161 (In Russ.)
  10. Bobkov V.N., Odintsova E.V., Ryazantsev V.I. Precarisation of Employment and Its Features in Generational Groups of Workers in the Assessments of Trade Union Experts. Sotsial'no-trudovye issledovaniy=Social and Labor Research. 2023;(1(50)):31–40. https://doi.org/10.34022/2658-3712-2022-50-1-31-40 (In Russ.)
  11. Volkova I.A., Galynchik T.A. Precarisation of Employment as a Factor of Human Capital Depreciation. Narodonaselenie=Population. 2025;28(1):168–178. https://doi.org/10.24412/15617785-2025-1-168-178 (In Russ.)
  12. Uraev R.R., Krul A.S., Valieva G.R. Informal Employment in the Context of Digitalization of the Labour Market (on the Example of the Republic of Bashkortostan). Vestnik ehkonomiki, prava i sotsiologii=The Review of Economy, The Law and Sociology. 2025;(3):119–126. https://doi.org/10.24412/1998-5533-2025-3-119-126 (In Russ.)
  13. Odegov V.V., Sherstyakov D.O., Shumilina E.A. Employment Problems and Employment as an Indicator of Regional Sustainability. Prikladnye ekonomicheskie issledovaniya=Applied Economic Research. 2025;(5):139–147. https://doi.org/10.47576/2949-1908.2025.5.5.016 (In Russ.)
  14. Illarionova E.O. New Forms of Employment in the Context of Labour Market Digitalization. Nauka. Kul'tura. Obshchestvo=Science. Culture. Society. 2021;27(1):21–32. https://doi.org/10.19181/nko.2021.27.1.2 (In Russ.)
  15. Elias A., Gomez G.M. Digital Platforms as Institutional Actors in the Global South – Evidence From India's Informal Sector. Digital Geography and Society. 2025;9:100146. ISSN 2666-3783. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.diggeo.2025.100146
  16. Piasna A., Zwysen W., Drahokoupil J. The Platform Economy in Europe: Results from the Second ETUI Internet and Platform Work Survey (IPWS). Research Paper-Working Paper. Brussels: ETUI; 2022. 5 p. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4042629
  17. Zudina A.A. Informal Employment during Crises: Analysis of Labour Force Flows in the Russian Labour Market. Ehkonomicheskii zhurnal Vysshei shkoly ehkonomiki=Higher School of Economics Economic Journal. 2024;28(4):565–586. http://doi.org/10.17323/1813-8691-2024-28-4-565-586 (In Russ.)
  18. Shornikova N.Yu. A Study of the Impact of Digital Technologies on the Transformation of Labour. Ekonomicheskie sistemy=Economic Systems. 2025;18(3):142–151. https://doi.org/10.29030/2309-2076-2025-18-3-142-151 (In Russ.)
  19. Lei X., Baghaie S., Mohammad Sajadi S. The digital economy: Challenges and opportunities in the new era of technology and electronic communications. Ain Shams Engineering Journal. 2024;15(2):102411. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asej.2023.102411
  20. Wang R. Challenges and countermeasures for the protection of online consumer rights in the digital economy. Advances in Economics Management and Political Sciences. 2023;55(1):102–106. https://doi.org/10.54254/2754-1169/55/20230969
  21. Oganesyan D.A., Kurnosova E.A. Teoriya Institutsional'nykh Izmenenii. Vestnik Samarskogo Gosudarstvennogo Universiteta. Seriya: Ehkonomika i Upravlenie. 2015;(2(124)):164–168. (In Russ.)
  22. Myslyaeva I.N. State Regulation of Social and Labour Relations in the Digital Economy. Uroven' zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2024;20(1):27–38. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2024_20_1_3_27_38 (In Russ.)
  23. Filatova E.L. Platform Economy: Impact on Labour and Employment. Vestnik Surgutskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta=Surgut State University Journal. 2025;13(4):64–74. https://doi.org/10.35266/2949-3455-2025-4-6 (In Russ.)
  24. Graham M., Anwar M.A. The Global Gig Economy: Towards a Planetary Labour Market? In: Larsson А., Robin Teigland R. (eds.) The Digital Transformation of Labor. Automation, the Gig Economy and Welfare. London: Routledge; 2019. 22 p. ISBN 9780429317866 https://doi.org/10.4324/9780429317866-13
  25. Sorokina O.V., Bratkova V.V. Institutional Traps in the Digital Economy: Causes and Mechanisms of Formation. Kant. 2025;(1(54)):168–175. https://doi.org/10.24923/2222-243X.2025-54.24 (In Russ.)
  26. Graham M., Dutton W.H. (eds.) Society and the Internet, How Networks of Information and Communication Are Changing Our Lives. UK: Oxford University Press; 2019. P. 293–306. ISBN 9780198843498 https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198843498.001.0001
  27. Nekhoda E.V., Nedospasova O.P., Gevorgyan O.I. Institutionalisation of New Forms of Employment: From Challenges to Opportunities. Zhurnal Institutsional'nykh Issledovanii=Journal of Institutional Studies. 2025;17(3):67–83. https://doi.org/10.17835/2076-6297.2025.17.3.067-083 (In Russ.)
  28. Heimburg V., Wiesche M. Digital Platform Regulation: Opportunities for Information Systems Research. Internet Research. 2023;33(7):72–85. https://doi.org/10.1108/INTR-05-2022-0321
  29. Dudin M.N., Shkodinskiy S.V., Usmanov D.I. Assessment of the Impact of Digital Inequality on the Socio-Economic Development of Russian Regions. Voprosy innovatsionnoy ekonomiki=Russian Journal of Innovation Economics. 2021;11(3):961–984. https://doi.org/10.18334/vinec.11.3.113452 (In Russ.)
  30. Baymurzina G.R., Chernykh E.A. Features of Platform Employment in Russia: What the Data from Digital Worker Profiles Say. Ekonomicheskie i sotsial'nye peremeny: fakty, tendentsii, prognoz=Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast. 2024;17(2):202–219. https://doi.org/10.15838/esc.2024.2.92.11 (In Russ.)
  31. Kelishomi A.M., Nistico R. Economic Sanctions and Informal Employment. Labour Economics. 2024;89:102581. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102581
  32. Alekseevskaya A.V., Vaslavskaya I.Yu. Tax Risks in the Context of Labour Market and Entrepreneurship Transformation (Based on the Materials of the Republic of Tatarstan). Regional'naya Ehkonomika I Upravlenie: Ehlektronnyi Nauchnyi Zhurnal=Regional Economy and Management: Electronic Scientific Journal. 2025;(1(81)):1–15. (In Russ.)
  33. Doroshenko S.V. Informal Employment: Does the Tax Regime Affect Professional Income? Intellekt. Innovatsii. Investitsii=Intellect. Innovations. Investments. 2024;(3):11–22. https://doi.org/10.25198/2077-7175-2024-3-11.14 (In Russ.)
  34. Kaufman N.Yu., Zelentsova S.Yu., Imamverdieva M.I., et al. Precarisation of Labour: Socio-Economic Risks of Employment in the Digital Economy of Russia. Fundamental'nye issledovaniya=Fundamental Research. 2025;(9):28–33. https://doi.org/10.17513/fr.43898 (In Russ.)

SECTION:

ECONOMIC RESEARCH

TITLE:

Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Uncertainty on Consumer Markets in Russian Regions

Gulnara F. Romashkina, Maksim R. Zanchuk

Размер файла 2.828 MB Размер файла Full text

RAR (Research Article Report)

JEL D12, E21, G41

https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2026_22_3_2_380_391

AUTHORS

Gulnara F. Romashkina

Tyumen State University, Tyumen, Russia

E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7764-5566

SPIN-code: 7764-5566

ResearcherID: O-7221-2017

Scopus Author ID: 57219916692

Maksim R. Zanchuk

Tyumen State University, Tyumen, Russia

E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0000-9912-1416

SPIN-code: 9904-4280

FOR CITATION

Romashkina G.F., Zanchuk M.R. Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Uncertainty on Consumer Markets in Russian Regions. Uroven' Zhizni Naseleniya Regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2026;22(3):380–391. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2026_22_3_2_380_391 (In Russ.)

ABSTRACT

The last decade has been characterized by an increasing role of fundamental uncertainty in the Russian economy, related to both external and internal factors. The consumer behaviour across Russian regions, on the one hand, is influenced by standard factors, describing the macroeconomic situation, while on the other hand, it is exposed to panic responses and information asymmetry. The purpose of this article is to conduct a study of the impact of perceived fundamental uncertainty on consumer behavior using the theoretical developments of the Keynesian and post-Keynesian scientific traditions, using data from Russian regions. The empirical analysis is based on regional data from the Russian state statistics for the period from 2000 to 2024. The main method of analysis is a stepwise regression with random effects, where the dependent variable is the average propensity to consume. In the study, various nonlinear models were tested to estimate the possibilities of considering uncertainty. The level of uncertainty was assessed on an information uncertainty index, which was calculated based on the mentions of the term «uncertainty» in newspapers. The rest of the parameters formed a standard set of macroeconomic indicators. The main result of the study was the confirmation of a statistically significant positive connection between news uncertainty and the average propensity to consume. It was concluded that increased uncertainty provokes panic consumption, reflecting an increased propensity to consume while maintaining the significance of standard macroeconomic parameters (GRP per capita, real income and unemployment rate). Possibilities for nonlinear modeling were revealed in describing consumer behavior using the example of Russian regions. There were presented the examples of models that describe the specificity of Russian regions more adequately. Highly significant regional differences were revealed, reflecting the participation of hidden regional factors in the formation of consumer behavior. Thus, the research has confirmed the heuristic possibilities of post-Keynesian theory in describing the dynamics of consumer behavior on empirical data.

KEYWORDS

consumer behavior, propensity, uncertainty, post-Keynesianism, expectations, panel data

INFORMATION ABOUT THE AUTHORS

Gulnara F. Romashkina

Doctor of Sociology, Professor, Tyumen State University.

Maksim R. Zanchuk

Postgraduate Student, Tyumen State University.

REFERENCES

  1. Keynes D. General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. Moscow: Publishing House Eksmo; 2022. 960 p. ISBN 978-5-04-166327-8 (In Russ.)
  2. Lavoie M., Seccareccia M. L'économie Post-Keynésienne, Une pensée Hétérodoxe Méconnue? Revue Interventions Economiques. 2022;67:1–22. https://doi.org/10.4000/interventionseconomiques.16208
  3. Makar S.V., Yarasheva A.V. Consumer Behavior of Russians: Opportunities and Priorities. Narodonaselenie=Population. 2022;25(4):68–78. https://doi.org/10.19181/population.2022.25.4.6 (In Russ.)
  4. Hristov H., Millard J., Pravst I., et al. European Household Spending and Socio-Economic Impacts on Food Behavior During the First Wave of COVID-19. Frontiers in Nutrition. 2022;9:869091. https://doi.org/10.3389/fnut.2022.869091
  5. Pastukhova E.YA., Belchik T.A., Kochneva O.P. Monetary Incomes, Poverty and Consumer Expenditures in the Regions: Long-Term Trends and Impact Factors. Voprosy Upravleniya=Management Issues. 2023;17(3):5–18. https://doi.org/10.22394/2304-3369-2023-3-5-18 (In Russ.)
  6. Shneiderman I.M., Yarasheva A.V., Makar S.V. Financial Behavior of the Russian Population: Regional Differences. Voprosy Statistiki=Bulletin of Statistics. 2021;28(6):59–68. https://doi.org/10.34023/2313-6383-2021-28-6-59-68 (In Russ.)
  7. Gulyugina A.A. Consumer Spending and Purchasing Power of the Russian Population Under Sanctions: Level, Structure, Crisis Manifestations. Uroven' zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2024;20(4):530–542. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2024_20_4_4_530_542 (In Russ.)
  8. Manou K., Papapetrou E. Does Uncertainty Matter for Household Consumption? A Mean and a two Tails Approach. Journal of Economics and Finance. 2025;49(4):909–941. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12197-025-09727-9
  9. Dhakal C., Acharya B., Wang S. Food Spending in the United States During the First Year of the COVID-19 Pandemic. Frontiers in Public Health. 2022;10:1–7. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.912922
  10. Zakeri M., Radfar A., Bayati M., et al. Lessons from the Pandemic: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis of Food and Non-Food Household Expenditures in Iran. BMC Public Health. 2025;25(1):1–9. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-025-25230-6
  11. Drakopoulos S.A. The Marginalization of Absolute and Relative Income Hypotheses of Consumption and the Role of Fiscal Policy. The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought. 2021;28(6):965–984. https://doi.org/10.1080/09672567.2021.1946120
  12. Drakopoulos S.A. Theories of Consumption. MPRA Paper. 2021;108215.
  13. Komarovskaya N.V. Defining Uncertainty. Voprosy Teoreticheskoi Ekonomiki=Issues of Economic Theory. 2025;((1)26):51–64. https://doi.org/10.52342/2587-7666VTE_2025_1_51_64 (In Russ.)
  14. Stiglitz J.E. The Contributions of the Economics of Information to Twentieth Century Economics. The Quarterly Journal of Economics. 2000;115(4):1441–1478. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355300555015
  15. Akerlof J., Shiller R. Spiritus Animalis: How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why it Matters for Global Capitalism. Moscow; Publishing House United_Press; 2010. 273 p. ISBN 978-5-904522-33-9 (In Russ.)
  16. Radaev V.V. Emotionally Loaded Consumption in Modern Russia. Part One: Theoretical Basis for Research. Monitoring obshchestvennogo mneniya: ekonomicheskie i sotsial'nye peremeny=Monitoring of Public Opinion: Economic and Social Changes. 2023;(5):202–220. https://doi.org/10.14515/monitoring.2023.5.2491 (In Russ.)
  17. Radaev V.V. Emotionally Loaded Consumption in Contemporary Russia: Specific Features, Main Factors and Financial Consequences. Part 2: Empirical Estimates. Monitoring obshchestvennogo mneniya: ekonomicheskie i sotsial'nye peremeny=Monitoring of Public Opinion: Economic and Social Changes. 2023;(6):17–34. https://doi.org/10.14515/monitoring.2023.6.2501 (In Russ.)
  18. Drakopoulos S.A. Post-Keynesian Economics: New Foundations by Marc Lavoie. Chapter 2: Theory of Choice. Review of Political Economy. 2023;35(4):1034–1044. https://doi.org/10.1080/09538259.2023.2208064
  19. Lavoie M. A Post Keynesian Approach to Consumer Choice. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics. 1994;16(4):539–562. https://doi.org/10.1080/01603477.1994.11489999

SECTION:

ARTICLE OF THE ISSUE

TITLE:

(In)stability of the Employment Position of Economically (In)active Individuals in Russia

Elena V. Odintsova

Размер файла 2.828 MB Размер файла Full text

RAR (Research Article Report)

JEL J21, J6

https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2026_22_3_1_368_379

AUTHOR

Elena V. Odintsova

Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7906-8520

SPIN-code: 1866-4793

ResearcherID: U-7061-2019

FOR CITATION

Odintsova E.V. (In)stability of the Employment Position of Economically (In)active Individuals in Russia. Uroven' Zhizni Naseleniya Regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2026;22(3):368–379. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2026_22_3_1_368_379 (In Russ.)

ABSTRACT

The purpose of the research presented in the article was to identify the (in)stability characteristics of the employment position of economically active and inactive individuals in Russia. Changes in the employment position and quality of employment of workers, identified in the sustainability – precarity paradigm based on relevant indicators, were tracked over the period 2014–2023, comparing the situation in the «baseline» year of 2023, which represents the current situation, with the «reference» year of 2014. Based on the microdata of the Russia Longitudinal Monitoring Survey – Higher School of Economics (RLMS-HSE), the following groups were considered, reflecting the existing employment position and quality of employment: I. Employees in organizations whose employment is characterized as: (1.1) sustainable, (1.2) insecure, (1.3) not ensuring economic sustainability of households, and (1.4) precarious; II. Employees not in organizations (potentially precarious employment); III. Unemployed (temporarily unemployed, an extreme form of precarious employment); IV. Persons outside the economic activity. The scale of these enlarged groups of the economically (non)active population in 2023, the (non)stability of the positioning in these groups relative to 2014, and the movements between groups with different employment position and quality of employment have been determined. It was found that 59.3% of those who were economically active and 29.9% of those who were economically inactive in 2023 had unstable employment position compared to 2014. However, most of those with unstable employment position experienced changes within the «vulnerability contour», which refers to transitions between low-quality employment segments, including precarious employment, temporary unemployment (an extreme form of precarious employment), and economic inactivity.

KEYWORDS

employment position, quality of employment, instability, unsustainability (precarity), economic activity, employment, unemployment, economic inactivity

INFORMATION ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Elena V. Odintsova

PhD in Economics, Leading Researcher, Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences.

REFERENCES

  1. Gimpelson V.Е., Kapeliushnikov R.I. (eds.), et al. Mobility and Stability in the Russian Labour Market. Moscow: HSE Publishing House; 2017. 529 p. ISBN 978-5-7598-1532-7 (In Russ.)
  2. Gimpelson V., Sharunina A. Flows in the Russian Labor Market: 2000–2012. Ekonomicheskij zhurnal VSHE=HSE Economic Journal. 2015;19(3):313–348 (In Russ.)
  3. Vakulenko E.S. Comparative Analysis of Interregional and Intersectoral Mobility in Russia. Ekonomika regiona=Economy of region. 2020;16(4):1193–1207. https://doi.org/10.17059/ekon.reg.2020-4-13 (In Russ.)
  4. Hu M., Yi B. The Impact of Heterogeneous Labor Mobility on Income Inequality: A Skill Premium Perspective. International Review of Economics and Finance. 2026;108:105231. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2026.105231
  5. Woods T., Nguyen D., Schneider D., et al. Labor Market Pathways to Job Quality Mobility in the Service Sector: Evidence from the «Great Resignation». Research in Social Stratification and Mobility. 2024;92:100962. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rssm.2024.100962
  6. Fontaine I., Gálvez-Iniesta I., Gomes P., et al. Labour Market Flows: Accounting for the Public Sector. Labour Economics. 2020;62:101770. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2019.101770
  7. Chassamboulli A., Fontaine I., Gomes P. How Important Are Worker Gross Flows Between Public and Private Sector? Economics Letters. 2020;192:109204. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109204
  8. Wang F., Liang Z., Lehmann H. Import Competition and the Rise of Precarious Employment: Evidence from Individual-Level and Firm-Level Data in China. Labour Economics. 2025;97:102803. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102803
  9. Pauls C., Fleischmann M., Klein M., et al. Subjective Household Poverty as a Moderator for the Association Between Employment Precariousness and Mental Health Across Five European Welfare State Types. SSM - Population Health. 2024;27:101696. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssmph.2024.101696
  10. Park H., Park G.-R., Kim J. Transitioning Into and Out of Precarious Employment and Life Satisfaction: Evidence from Asymmetric Fixed Effects Models. Social Science and Medicine. 2024;341:116539. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2023.116539
  11. Cuccu L., Royuela V., Scicchitano S. Navigating the Precarious Path: Understanding the Dualisation of the Italian Labour Market Through the Lens of Involuntary Part-Time Employment. Papers in Regional Science. 2024;103(6):100061. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100061
  12. Karl M., Staudt A., Vives A., et al. Validation of the Employment Precariousness Scale and Its Associations With Mental Health Outcomes: Results from a Prospective Community-Based Study of Pregnant Women and Their Partners in Dresden, Germany. British Medical Journal Open. 2024;14(8):e077206. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2023-077206
  13. Shichkin I.A., Kozhevnikova M.O. The Impact of Precarity on Quality of Employment and Living Standards of Households of the Middle Generation Workers. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast. 2024;17(3):190–205. https://doi.org/10.15838/esc.2024.3.93.11
  14. Popov A.V. Implications of Precarization in the Context of Generational Groups: Direct and Indirect Effects. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast. 2022;15(6):167–181. https://doi.org/10.15838/esc.2022.6.84.10
  15. Han W.J., Zhang L. Precarious Parental Employment Conditions and Family Poverty Experiences in the First Six Years of a Child’s Life. Journal of Child and Family Studies. 2022;31:1106–1120. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10826-021-02154-4
  16. Bobkov V.N. Precarious Employment in the Russian Federation: the State and Directions of Reduction. Narodonaselenie=Population. 2019;22(2):91–104. https://doi.org/10.19181/1561-7785-2019-00018 (In Russ.)
  17. Bobkov V.N. On the Concept of the Problems of Modern Labour Economics. Uroven' Zhizni Naseleniya Regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2025;21(3):355–370. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2025_21_3_1_355_370 (In Russ.)
  18. Odintsova E.V. Assessment of Precarious Employment in the Russian Formal Sector: From the Level of Workers to the Level of Households. Obshchestvo i ekonomika=Society and Economics. 2025;(8):18–32. https://doi.org/10.7868/s3034598725080022 (In Russ.)
  19. Bobkov V.N., Odintsova E.V., Podvoisky G.L. Sustainable and Precarious Employment in the Russian Federation. Mir novoi ehkonomiki=The World of the New Economy. 2023;17(3):109–124. https://doi.org/10.26794/2220-6469-2023-17-3-109-124 (In Russ.)
  20. Toshchenko Zh.T. (ed.) Zhiznennyi Mir Rabotnikov: Ustoichivost' Versus Prekarnost'. Moscow: Publishing House Ves’ mir; 2024. 462 p. ISBN 978-5-7777-0938-7 (In Russ.)
  21. Toshchenko Zh.T. (ed.) From Precarious Employment to Precarious Quality of Life. Monograph. Moscow: Publishing House Ves Mir; 2022. 364 p. ISBN 978-5-7777-0886-1 https://doi.org/10.55604/9785777708861 (In Russ.)
  22. Kuchenkova A.V. Employment Precarization and Subjective Well-Being of Employees in Different Age Groups. Sotsiologicheskiy Zhurnal=Sociological Journal. 2022;28(1):101–120. https://doi.org/10.19181/socjour.2022.28.1.8840 (In Russ.)
  23. Odintsova E.V. Level and Quality of Employment of Households with Children: (Non-)Sustainability and Dynamics in the New Conditions of Russia’s Development. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast. 2025;18(5):129–142. https://doi.org/10.15838/esc.2025.5.101.7
  24. Odintsova Е.V. On the Sustainability of the Standard of Living of Russian Households. Uroven' zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii=Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. 2026;22(1):87–104. https://doi.org/10.52180/1999-9836_2026_22_1_6_87_104 (In Russ.)